24 December 2007
2007 may well be seen by historians of British politics as a watershed year.

The year in which the Labour party voluntarily gave up its longest serving and electorally most successful Prime Minister since the party was formed.

The year his successor became Prime Minister without a single vote being cast, who then shied away from calling an election when 11% ahead in opinion polls, and presided over the sharpest decline in popular trust of any Administration since polling began.

The year the Liberal Democrats chose their third Leader in as many years, at the point their support fell by a third since the election less than three years ago.

The year the Conservatives started well, faltered then recovered to their best ratings for 20 years.

What does this tell us? Firstly how volatile public opinion can be in today's world of mass and instant communications. So no party can take the public for granted or rest on past laurels.

It also shows how hard it is to earn the confidence of the electorate and how quickly it can be lost once trust starts to unravel.

I see no room for complacency, but for this week's Christmas break at least, I know which party leader has most cause to reflect back on the year, feeling his political roller-coaster is on the way up.

The challenge for David Cameron in 2008 is to continue developing clear policies on the economy, health, education, the environment and much more that will solve the acute problems facing Britain.

I wish you a very Happy Christmas.